TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,425,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,425,612 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c2,490,126$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.13313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…7186backed Yes0c888,033$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c363,270$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3420819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0759…4325backed Yes0c338,137$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec6…8803backed Yes0c281,781$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c157,430$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.995712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c117,474$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.95375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c95,000$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c17…cf02backed Yes0c72,040$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68aa…794ebacked Yes0c67,885$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992f…c40abacked Yes0c64,741$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c63,373$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…8c68backed Yes0c63,309$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f43…8133backed Yes0c59,376$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b3…d68cbacked Yes1c59,155$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…160bbacked Yes0c58,616$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b4…8376backed Yes0c58,444$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1216…3547backed Yes0c56,356$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a5…77dbbacked Yes0c52,927$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…06adbacked Yes0c51,731$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a8…4d89backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…e8adbacked Yes0c49,479$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e1…d1f3backed Yes0c49,444$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c49,222$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.671414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1095…b109backed Yes0c47,660$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…619ebacked Yes0c47,330$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f8…8a64backed Yes0c46,189$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ed…f602backed Yes0c45,364$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b5…5adebacked Yes0c45,320$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c43,873$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.62180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4d…859fbacked Yes0c43,559$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20f…0a1bbacked Yes0c43,557$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe963…8d31backed Yes0c43,053$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcde…4e4cbacked Yes0c41,129$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2468…cd51backed Yes0c41,099$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694a…0fa8backed Yes0c41,081$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c40,978$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0839…698ebacked Yes0c40,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a1…17d2backed Yes0c38,355$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes0c38,000$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes1c37,648$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.652138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2053…4de0backed Yes0c37,218$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c35,790$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.65200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4f…2fb0backed Yes0c35,232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb5…e041backed Yes0c34,065$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc541…f65dbacked Yes0c33,723$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…28b9backed Yes0c31,888$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f23…3a25backed Yes0c31,739$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes0c31,707$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.08229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…31ffbacked Yes0c31,314$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd962…8e0fbacked Yes0c30,939$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30d…b174backed Yes0c30,198$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bc…e654backed Yes0c30,034$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73e…eb34backed Yes0c29,214$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes0c28,894$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ace…a5c6backed Yes0c28,629$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…384dbacked Yes0c27,800$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e42…1d26backed Yes0c25,984$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c25,459$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.587746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…c4bcbacked Yes0c25,212$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes1c24,710$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.55837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes0c23,402$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4142…1853backed Yes0c20,575$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee29…d1f4backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec05…2b59backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes1c19,868$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…59c8backed Yes0c19,473$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ee…1128backed Yes0c18,997$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5b…047abacked Yes1c18,738$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes0c18,442$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9e…1ca1backed Yes0c17,955$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bc…ee76backed Yes0c17,573$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c17,286$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.17200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…b3e8backed Yes0c16,182$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb83…828ebacked Yes0c16,094$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b78…dd40backed Yes0c15,888$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749e…87a9backed Yes0c15,188$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c15,020$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeeb…e6b0backed Yes0c15,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes0c12,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes0c12,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-75.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes0c10,846$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5296…8b00backed Yes0c10,250$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f423backed Yes0c10,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes1c10,166$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0715037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe700…dc26backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes1c9,858$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed Yes0c9,389$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes1c9,121$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes1c8,633$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.35825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes1c8,205$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c8,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes1c6,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d59…a5e8backed Yes0c6,233$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb1…b7eabacked Yes1c6,227$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes0c6,184$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68f…c311backed Yes1c6,149$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.