TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,122,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,233,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,122,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c2,334,062$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.1290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c1,583,659$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.66375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c872,943$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.83180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes1c694,010$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.43837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid-22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c649,741$16,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,518.1813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c532,774$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.7520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes2c300,000$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.483119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes4c274,441$10,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,716.573237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf44…7f09backed Yes5c257,619$14,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,107.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes1c200,275$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8255536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c200,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c187,141$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…9ac6backed Yes1c173,260$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes0c143,031$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.122010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes2c136,316$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.37229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Yes3c117,520$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.851866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes1c113,204$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3370%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8092…494abacked Yes0c100,771$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeac…0216backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc156…9a16backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…b881backed Yes3c99,261$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes2c98,455$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.465349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes0c92,262$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x892d…14b0backed Yes0c88,888$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Yes0c85,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes3c80,105$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.653537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c79,341$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c78,570$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.149917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8df…74efbacked Yes2c77,118$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad8…fd3fbacked Yes0c73,474$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe547…0443backed Yes1c72,948$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9882…6a79backed Yes0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d1…37c9backed Yes3c65,779$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…962abacked Yes0c65,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c63,209$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.2711628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Yes3c63,197$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes2c60,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes2c57,275$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.0725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes2c56,837$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.271910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c55,600$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes3c55,431$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4746939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c53,002$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b55…7d76backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b04dbacked Yes2c50,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes2c49,741$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.561010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33f9…dcbfbacked Yes0c46,667$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…18e5backed Yes2c44,855$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes0c43,440$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.41140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes3c42,058$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.622941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f64…52d2backed Yes0c40,760$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c38,449$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.095712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5b…440ebacked Yes0c38,247$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes1c37,340$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.082646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e82…f451backed Yes2c36,715$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Yes2c34,549$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes3c34,460$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Yes2c34,016$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Yes4c33,935$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c33,781$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.22520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec05…2b59backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c0…67b9backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c32,849$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes0c32,122$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bb…27f9backed Yes1c31,811$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…4190backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…1bd0backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes2c30,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a8…2631backed Yes3c29,128$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes0c28,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8409…bcf6backed Yes0c26,675$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d3…b798backed Yes3c25,090$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…d386backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes1c24,611$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes1c23,745$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c23,637$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.251926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Yes2c22,514$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes0c22,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes3c22,000$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1711342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes3c20,811$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5b…047abacked Yes0c20,270$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes3c20,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes1c20,039$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…f676backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c08…ad92backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes3c19,659$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.141833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes5c19,623$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.092138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes3c18,658$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.06110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…d3b3backed Yes3c17,487$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes3c17,062$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.181442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0a…1936backed Yes0c16,773$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ee…1128backed Yes0c16,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes2c15,848$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb49…5fbdbacked Yes2c15,438$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes2c15,205$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.55214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-90.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.