TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf779…d36f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Stocks at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333%1 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-88.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.74
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.87
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.96
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.6
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.58
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.95
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+279%+$768.28
Will Palantir reach $258 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Meta reach $750 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA reach $220 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will NVIDIA reach $236 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.24
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Tesla reach $645 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Tesla reach $608 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Tesla reach $578 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Tesla reach $510 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $510 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$75.7
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+59.6%+$56
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.2
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$253.2
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.2
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$307.4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.7
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.41
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.6
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+282.7%+$81.26
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+420.2%+$247.37
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.03
Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.85
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.46
Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.33
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052.27
Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.79
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.05
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$167
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+700%+$350
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+110%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.