Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ddc9a197b35cccb9611cf819def178ea5071c6fa048dc7a407364b63e7269f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 7,865$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…7a17backed Yes | 0c | 6,541$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,132$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,296$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,163$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,519$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 3,290$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,074$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,641$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…539dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,337$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…f7f1backed Yes | 5c | 2,261$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8d…c841backed Yes | 5c | 2,232$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 9c | 2,199$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…3cd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,142$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 11c | 2,096$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,990$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 1,918$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…5523backed Yes | 1c | 1,739$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,713$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…1526backed Yes | 2c | 1,689$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…bda4backed Yes | 2c | 1,636$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…c017backed Yes | 1c | 1,632$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…042dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,584$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 2c | 1,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,334$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…2ec4backed Yes | 2c | 1,185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,007$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 4c | 992$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 6c | 884.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…bc16backed Yes | 13c | 763.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ec…a7bfbacked Yes | 14c | 715.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…bb0fbacked Yes | 3c | 701.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0572…e5b4backed Yes | 5c | 693$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…45dbbacked Yes | 3c | 670.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 5c | 653.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…99c3backed Yes | 5c | 645$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…f064backed Yes | 5c | 641$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…e418backed Yes | 5c | 623$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40be…4f25backed Yes | 5c | 601$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…c3b9backed Yes | 5c | 569$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…109ebacked Yes | 5c | 564$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…d549backed Yes | 18c | 538.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…ad7cbacked Yes | 5c | 510$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…f6b7backed Yes | 5c | 493$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…a85ebacked Yes | 8c | 409.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…7e08backed Yes | 4c | 404.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +323.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Yes | 4c | 370.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e69…a4b5backed Yes | 6c | 326.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…0621backed Yes | 6c | 320.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…ec67backed Yes | 15c | 215.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 214.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…4373backed Yes | 10c | 211.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…7029backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…630ebacked Yes | 5c | 194.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 5c | 187.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…7ca4backed Yes | 7c | 171.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…6910backed Yes | 10c | 152.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 9c | 151.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed Yes | 9c | 114.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Leeds finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.