TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c9,299$127 inLost-$127.3520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes9c5,211$494 inLost-$493.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes15c3,623$542 inLost-$541.665349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes9c2,927$262 inLost-$262.0832222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c2,100$17 inLost-$16.8375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c2,021$119 inLost-$119.32037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes4c1,724$76 inLost-$76.4511125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes7c1,458$108 inLost-$107.58922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes9c1,255$108 inLost-$108.274712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes7c1,162$83 inLost-$82.8715037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes12c1,020$122 inLost-$121.994632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes2c994.78$16 inLost-$15.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes2c992$22 inLost-$21.981735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes9c710.92$65 inLost-$64.851910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes9c652.05$61 inLost-$61.225339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…b4d7backed Yes3c308.81$10 inLost-$10.5520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes7c307.99$22 inLost-$21.561428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c9…4d8bbacked Yes12c177.72$21 inLost-$21.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c152.96$12 inLost-$12.2422834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce0…5881backed Yes20c101.34$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes23c99.96$23 inLost-$23.242250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes14c94.13$13 inLost-$13.269943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd086…bbc7backed Yes22c50$11 inLost-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes21c50$10 inLost-$10.348055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No79c16.83$13 inWon+$3.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.