TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaee8…1154backed Yes19c8,136$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.43837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes40c6,979$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes34c5,219$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.035552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes10c4,912$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.920819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes17c2,792$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.222825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes24c2,764$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes26c2,576$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes23c2,210$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes17c2,107$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.351233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes12c1,800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Yes19c1,795$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.795832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No72c1,504$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.913545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,434$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.682037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes14c1,137$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes18c1,054$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.343129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…6b29backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+112.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes19c992$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.191735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes22c878.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2113832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f1…e0e8backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked No60c834.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.172470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No65c826.14$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.897447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6f…3ddebacked Yes26c778.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes19c774.93$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.632343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685c…603bbacked No44c763.21$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.094100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No66c756.55$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9811125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…c920backed Yes19c501$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba72…143bbacked Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7235…27bcbacked No75c495.55$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+137.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff95…4ecfbacked Yes17c467.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes18c448.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.684712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd54…3356backed Yes13c435.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes26c434.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…4f3dbacked Yes12c404.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13620750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed Yes37c396.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes17c372.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…ce1ebacked Yes35c366.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes28c361.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes17c345.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x661c…030bbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes18c339.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.411910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No74c336.42$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3218459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6629158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes27c298.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2110751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…c1c2backed Yes38c292.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c289.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9753240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d1b…6cc0backed Yes37c272$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No72c262.08$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adb…6f3abacked Yes39c256.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…c352backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb00…1942backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…0c40backed Yes40c247.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe4…7ca4backed Yes19c245.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.64333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9833…0b32backed Yes58c232$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5281…be82backed Yes8c230.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c4…fb58backed Yes8c224.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605b…1aeebacked Yes19c212$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…7d35backed Yes24c211.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a15…4117backed Yes19c210.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…5c87backed Yes18c206.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82d4…a7f5backed Yes20c205.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes20c202$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.782119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7f…70d3backed Yes40c196.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No72c190.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.183066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c185.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8322834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec5…ae41backed Yes14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5bf…6271backed Yes57c174.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes18c170.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes25c159.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4150%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a44…d282backed Yes40c158.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…3674backed Yes50c157.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9aa…a9f8backed Yes17c151.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f8…5ce0backed Yes33c146.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No80c145.76$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977f…7029backed Yes18c140.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe45c…f439backed Yes21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…875abacked Yes24c139.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65db…3b5cbacked Yes40c137.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc292…5d50backed Yes49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…85e5backed Yes9c133.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…d636backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce41…c2c2backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…a665backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes20c117.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda6…658dbacked Yes21c117.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fde…c821backed Yes17c115.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25fc…0a8fbacked Yes16c112.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No63c110.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.231346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8e…a62bbacked Yes18c106.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd90f…b6dabacked Yes28c102.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes15c102.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab1…8bcfbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cc…d3a5backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.