TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$22 inLost-$22375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes4c6,585$274 inLost-$273.5520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b2…caf1backed Yes1c3,752$36 inLost-$36.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bae…6b8dbacked Yes1c3,429$31 inLost-$30.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c3,366$12 inLost-$12.39240%0 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9626…282bbacked Yes1c3,216$31 inLost-$31.0930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes1c3,198$34 inLost-$34.132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1b…b899backed Yes1c2,845$26 inLost-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c2,450$22 inLost-$22.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0615…d15fbacked Yes1c2,206$20 inLost-$19.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b6…4706backed Yes1c2,021$18 inLost-$18.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d46…1759backed Yes1c1,765$11 inLost-$10.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,745$26 inLost-$26.462037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f28…001ebacked Yes1c1,719$12 inLost-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c1,677$12 inLost-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…7b31backed Yes1c1,676$13 inLost-$13.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes4c1,511$57 inLost-$56.541910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…6096backed Yes1c1,362$14 inLost-$13.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes1c1,250$16 inLost-$16.1411125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…8a6bbacked Yes1c1,131$11 inLost-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes1c992$10 inLost-$10.071735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes21c975.31$205 inLost-$2053948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes8c889.11$74 inLost-$74.022227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc21…62eebacked Yes2c776$12 inLost-$12.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db3…1171backed Yes2c758$12 inLost-$12.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb071…8205backed Yes2c740$12 inLost-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes8c739.35$63 inLost-$62.5813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes16c499.98$80 inLost-$804330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc92…b4d7backed Yes2c456.51$10 inLost-$10.48520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes5c327.55$15 inLost-$15.452853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes12c325$39 inLost-$38.915037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes15c300$45 inLost-$44.827335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes14c293$40 inLost-$40.093941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes7c224.99$16 inLost-$16.14712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764c…6e81backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c3…9455backed Yes28c53.04$15 inLost-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.