TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd739…25b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.47
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$19.39
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+285.5%+$201.45
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked Rudolf Molleker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194%+$120.09
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.09
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$187.78
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.98
La Bisbal: Antonia Ruzic vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.95
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.68
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$159.39
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.86
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.66
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.16
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+219.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$570
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.16
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.34
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.12
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$232.88
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+574.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.62
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+404.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+404.1%+$863.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.