TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc37…bac6backed Yes48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No54c3,730$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.94645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c3,710$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.8413844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c3,630$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.693,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c2,494$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.31,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c2,339$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.0414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.912133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes47c1,876$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.471,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked No50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No51c1,526$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.8814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c1,322$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.6583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,039$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes49c1,005$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4511566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes20c977.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.117541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes50c673.45$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6711551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c362.61$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.032,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes12c346.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes50c326$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes46c324.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4513230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c323.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes48c263.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes49c260.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8942458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c225.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c201.73$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9244039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Yes49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c135.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes48c126.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.547950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No78c114$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes28c105.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4717842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…9c2dbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9923855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes48c99.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9716446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes48c98.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0819555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0763…bcc8backed Yes50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No65c91.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.736937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes47c86.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.339441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x007c…3b2fbacked Yes48c82.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes23c74.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No51c73.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes42c72.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes34c69.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes42c59.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes40c58.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes34c57.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7914552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No57c56.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3424048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes48c56.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9235759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c53.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.636035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes36c52.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes49c51.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No51c48.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes46c48.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.352250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…bdffbacked No51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No57c44.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No55c43.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6312653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes46c39.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2141348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c35.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c35.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4822456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c31.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Yes49c30.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed No54c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bb…2115backed No51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No52c25.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4715655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No61c25.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No51c23.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3617061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c22.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes46c21.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No54c20.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.312661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.