La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdb11ffb50d7f6535254ea1d82484fce710210cc1e3edb4dd86ba18a396a607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 18c | 13,253$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,874.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 5,713$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 4,103$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.91 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 3,556$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.75 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 1,732$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 29c | 851.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 815.37$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.46 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 29c | 725.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 23c | 588.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.52 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 531.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 20c | 476.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 417.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 246.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 228.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes | 18c | 194.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 23c | 162.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 129.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 33c | 125.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 10c | 110.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 100.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 77c | 90.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 83.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5880backed Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 70.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 22c | 63.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 70c | 51.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 50.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 47.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 76c | 45.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 43.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 41.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 51c | 30.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 22.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 19.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 79c | 17.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.