La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7423d0bd5c6e6c14323045e7be3fc8364baf95aa590cdbe49683089856da5ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 6,840$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.51 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,367$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 2,646$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 56c | 2,538$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.72 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 1,511$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.36 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 1,036$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 641.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 52c | 514.42$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 59c | 503.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 48c | 500.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 497.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 383.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 45c | 320$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 31c | 318$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 311.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 64c | 198.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 57c | 175.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 167.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 49c | 156.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 148.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 144$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 61c | 119.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 58c | 101.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 99.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 56c | 82.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 79.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 46c | 76.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 58.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 64c | 48.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…b7c4backed No | 56c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 36c | 35.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 33.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 33c | 33.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…7158backed No | 45c | 31.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 46c | 28.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 70c | 24.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 59c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b1c6backed Yes | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.