Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa07f165b0bc5e7f35fdd6e5562cd7f9a760aa63a813e72e9ce708bc584982aaf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,337 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38f0…2768backed No	45c	23,387$10,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,875.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	42c	20,341$8,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,608.98	777	51.7%402 W · 375 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	46c	10,026$4,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,414.13	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Yes	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes	25c	7,831$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.65	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	54c	5,031$2,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,731.15	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	74c	3,492$2,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.33	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No	46c	2,363$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.04	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	55c	1,910$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.31	580	43.6%253 W · 327 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes	51c	1,863$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.23	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No	75c	1,560$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+12.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	54c	1,264$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.7	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	78c	1,160$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.4	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	75c	1,093$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.25	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e73…6de1backed Yes	14c	1,076$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	27c	1,005$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.56	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	55c	982.23$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.69	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	75c	921.67$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.42	258	51.2%132 W · 126 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes	55c	772.38$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.81	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	39c	680$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.85	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	73c	665.46$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.16	783	44.4%348 W · 435 L	-30.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes	27c	574$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.11	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes	19c	503.16$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.27	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	54c	478.49$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.35	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No	65c	466.86$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.19	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	64c	438.4$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.32	395	67.1%265 W · 130 L	+60.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Yes	53c	371.7$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No	46c	319.35$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.45	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No	58c	298$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.07	199	60.8%121 W · 78 L	+22.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No	61c	298$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.22	206	60.7%125 W · 81 L	+19.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed No	61c	298$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.22	168	56%94 W · 74 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No	80c	295$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-7.4wins	-0.22per pick	54cpaid	-41%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	55c	269.52$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.24	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	20c	254.49$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	75c	246$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.61	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes	55c	244.81$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.28	202	49%99 W · 103 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	55c	227$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.85	557	50.1%279 W · 278 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	55c	227$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.85	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes	55c	218.18$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes	31c	215.62$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.08	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	59c	215.6$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.07	549	49%269 W · 280 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	55c	203$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.65	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes	55c	200.6$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.33	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed No	75c	199.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes	56c	199.99$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.12	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	25c	198.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	18.5%25 W · 110 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	53c	197$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.36	472	40.7%192 W · 280 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	23c	195.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	229	46.7%107 W · 122 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No	78c	187$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes	55c	182.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	75c	152.14$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	304	44.1%134 W · 170 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No	72c	149.56$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.32	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	49c	139.4$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.42	372	49.2%183 W · 189 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes	55c	131.62$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.39	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No	75c	131.41$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	190	52.1%99 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No	74c	105.78$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	-16.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d36…0d50backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	22c	91.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	54c	88.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.31	451	40.4%182 W · 269 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes	55c	85$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.75	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No	49c	84$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	288	51.4%148 W · 140 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes	51c	81.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	360	51.9%187 W · 173 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes	21c	74.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	59c	72.18$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No	44c	68.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.1	178	58.4%104 W · 74 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	21c	57.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	249	20.9%52 W · 197 L	-19.4wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	75c	57.54$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	75c	55.12$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.78	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes	26c	54.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	43c	50.5$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.79	803	58%466 W · 337 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes	55c	50.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed No	75c	45.87$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes	54c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No	53c	43.7$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Yes	37c	40.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No	48c	40.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.02	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	43c	38.92$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes	57c	38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.66	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked Yes	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes	54c	37.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No	79c	36.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.72	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes	56c	35.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes	55c	35.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	55c	34.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes	55c	34.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes	55c	34.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	122	54.9%67 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event