South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aaf0d3ea2eea7dceb5f6ad5204b5119d8a0962f05fcdf7239baa096e3383d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 34c | 9,434$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 5,422$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…7b31backed No | 65c | 1,484$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 34c | 297.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 35c | 284.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 66c | 230.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 191.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 35c | 103.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 101.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…0fa7backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 74.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed No | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Yes | 34c | 58.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 35c | 53.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 39.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 66c | 39.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…7a6fbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 66c | 36.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 66c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 66c | 24.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed No | 71c | 24.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…25b1backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 65c | 21.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 66c | 21.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CA Peñarol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.