South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ec5e4c8e03c1f36d9f75d7e977433e8a28682857f441d2182a96684f6a2d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 1,297$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.44 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 1,082$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 36c | 312.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked Under | 48c | 265.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 217.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 26c | 205.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 58c | 172.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 167.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 137.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Over | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 103.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 88.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 78.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…5264backed Over | 43c | 72.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 60.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Under | 60c | 58.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…f84fbacked Over | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 31.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 60c | 24.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 65c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CA Peñarol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.