South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402ff560c7c19f6726dbe474692ed0f069135c6640c040a6419ba2c8252b9b5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 61c | 2,758$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.22 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,081$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 701.53$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 665.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 5c | 512.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 39c | 463.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 373.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 61c | 334.43$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 301.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 63c | 102.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 37c | 102.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 70.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 68.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 36c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…5dffbacked Over | 63c | 49.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 65c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CA Peñarol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.