Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1199df4412cb326b8f51a3bedd32a1d3cc817737189697a9fcb67a722d563e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 3c | 41,128$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.25 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 2c | 27,220$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.07 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 38c | 17,500$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850.89 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 16,569$10,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 15,278$9,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,396.36 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 62c | 5,300$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.89 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 3,821$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.03 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 62c | 3,794$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.9 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 3,767$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 34c | 3,053$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 2,319$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 37c | 2,297$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.3 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 25c | 2,244$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 2,120$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.56 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 62c | 1,571$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 62c | 1,560$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.78 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 1,538$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.18 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 62c | 1,395$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 1,238$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Yes | 38c | 1,035$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked No | 13c | 961.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 914.66$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.01 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 881.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 38c | 705.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 38c | 657.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.74 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 37c | 645.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 40c | 620.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 39c | 611$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 560.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 546.63$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.02 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 526.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 63c | 460$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 39c | 458$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 385.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.31 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 63c | 371$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 3c | 369.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 8c | 326.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 301$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 63c | 280.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…77babacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 6c | 262.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 37c | 249$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 240.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 211.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 37c | 203.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 201.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 178.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 7c | 174.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 173.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 38c | 166.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…e722backed Yes | 68c | 159.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 63c | 159.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 142$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 75c | 139.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 38c | 122.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 56c | 121.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 41c | 117.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes | 38c | 113.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 38c | 111.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 38c | 109.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Yes | 37c | 99.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 18c | 85.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 23c | 83.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 17c | 77.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 65c | 72.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.