Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f35a7a1b99fd0b04b2b623ee17625bd5abaeeae40b0e3dcfe04a2337809a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 31,679$20,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,776.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 35c | 18,370$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 33c | 15,334$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 13,505$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.3 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes | 35c | 11,181$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 33c | 7,058$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 4,980$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 67c | 4,800$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 66c | 4,669$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.45 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 1c | 4,538$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 4,281$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes | 35c | 2,403$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 4c | 2,400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 67c | 2,084$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.67 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,450$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Yes | 36c | 1,264$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 66c | 1,199$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 34c | 1,169$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…dc1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 65c | 999.96$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 969.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…4550backed Yes | 16c | 932.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 799.93$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 34c | 638.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Yes | 34c | 633.86$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 66c | 633$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…c186backed No | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 530.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 517.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…465dbacked Yes | 7c | 508$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 66c | 497.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 66c | 478.37$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 66c | 399.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yes | 36c | 356.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 316.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 289.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 34c | 242$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 66c | 226$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 201.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 16c | 189.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…bc8cbacked Yes | 36c | 176.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 23c | 171.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 14c | 143.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 135.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 66c | 122.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 67c | 120.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Yes | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 68c | 99.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 99.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 68c | 92.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 67c | 84.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 78.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 35c | 76.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 69.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 66c | 69.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 34c | 67.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 67c | 64.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…21b3backed Yes | 34c | 62.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 67c | 61.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 34c | 56.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked No | 65c | 53.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 33c | 50.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 34c | 48.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 35c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.