TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b5c…ab00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.76
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.57
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.76
Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valencia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Parma: Victoria Bosio vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Victoria Bosio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parrybacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Bengaluru 2: S D Prajwal Dev vs Joshua Charltonbacked S D Prajwal Dev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cinabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.