Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a6a50c85cd66d926260c63337882c769c58a299a3aa62a90b41b56b1bacf74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Two Move, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…86b0backed Two Move | 23c | 1,735$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Power Rangers | 79c | 716.51$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Two Move | 35c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Two Move | 25c | 397.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Two Move | 6c | 329.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Power Rangers | 45c | 301.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 254.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Power Rangers | 63c | 224.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Two Move | 18c | 211.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Two Move | 51c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Two Move | 55c | 197.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…02d0backed Two Move | 39c | 186.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Power Rangers | 80c | 175.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Two Move | 35c | 173.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Two Move | 51c | 151.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Power Rangers | 72c | 145$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Power Rangers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 75c | 134.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Power Rangers | 69c | 129.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Power Rangers | 55c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Power Rangers | 43c | 118.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Power Rangers | 55c | 108.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Two Move | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 86.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 83.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed Two Move | 16c | 71.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Two Move | 58c | 70.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Power Rangers | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Two Move | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Two Move | 61c | 48.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Power Rangers | 47c | 46.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Power Rangers | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Two Move | 55c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Power Rangers | 76c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 26.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Power Rangers | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked Power Rangers | 69c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Power Rangers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed Two Move | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 78c | 13.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Power Rangers | 74c | 13.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerTwo Move won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 3 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 4 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.