Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e58908fa913eaf91cfd9c696807344ef1d10d150a0da44639c994d2d98ab6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Two Moveof Two Move, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Two Move | 45c | 6,994$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.51 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Power Rangers | 55c | 6,291$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…14d3backed Power Rangers | 44c | 2,056$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Two Move | 54c | 1,806$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.11 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Two Move | 50c | 1,621$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.38 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 62c | 1,265$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Two Move | 54c | 1,149$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.1 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Power Rangers | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Power Rangers | 32c | 1,079$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.82 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 799.98$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Power Rangers | 14c | 541$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Power Rangers | 58c | 518.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers | 15c | 473.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Power Rangers | 26c | 413.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Power Rangers | 14c | 396$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 13c | 313$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Two Move | 46c | 301.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Power Rangers | 63c | 264.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Two Move | 51c | 236$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Power Rangers | 18c | 213$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Two Move | 60c | 183.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Two Move | 49c | 167.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Power Rangers | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Power Rangers | 65c | 152.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Two Move | 32c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 36c | 126.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…7658backed Two Move | 77c | 122.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Two Move | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Two Move | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Two Move | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Power Rangers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Two Move | 38c | 90.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Two Move | 29c | 76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 28c | 50.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9662…af06backed Two Move | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Two Move | 38c | 46.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Two Move | 41c | 38.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Power Rangers | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Two Move | 77c | 35.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…ae27backed Power Rangers | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Two Move | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Power Rangers | 62c | 22.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Power Rangers | 61c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Power Rangers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Power Rangers | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 3 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 4 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.