Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad69967ca317f92305c9ee450484fc18ddec13c67e23f79d81050b48e6d0af6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Two Move, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Two Move | 54c | 12,454$6,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737.96 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 8,242$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Power Rangers | 43c | 1,135$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.89 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Two Move | 56c | 1,043$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.45 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…14d3backed Power Rangers | 50c | 940$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 710.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Two Move | 47c | 569.64$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Two Move | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Two Move | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 420.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers | 57c | 408$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Two Move | 20c | 309.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 43c | 281.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Two Move | 44c | 261.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Power Rangers | 75c | 245.7$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Two Move | 17c | 234.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Power Rangers | 44c | 223.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Power Rangers | 71c | 200.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Two Move | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Power Rangers | 44c | 190.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 179.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Two Move | 43c | 175.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Two Move | 10c | 171.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 168.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Power Rangers | 43c | 158.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Power Rangers | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Two Move | 20c | 123.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Power Rangers | 42c | 112.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Two Move | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 75c | 97.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Two Move | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Power Rangers | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Power Rangers | 55c | 77.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Two Move | 16c | 66.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Power Rangers | 44c | 60.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Two Move | 56c | 45.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Two Move | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Power Rangers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Two Move | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Two Move | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerTwo Move won
- Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 4 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.