TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9662…af06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$11.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$7.71
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$15.9
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$24.2
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$23.31
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.1
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56%+$43.1
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$74.99
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$47.1
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$16.73
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$17.83
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$22.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$52.28
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$64.7
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$59.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$30.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$34.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: Satan666 vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stagebacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$10.42
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.