Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb60089aafa19dc2f06ff50cb390b1185ebb17fca39b73642f32dd5848d58c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Nigma Galaxy, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 52c | 65,939$34,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,327.95 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 17,526$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,904.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 13,111$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.17 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 10,995$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.9 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 10,800$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.21 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed PlayTime | 55c | 10,034$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 9,975$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.82 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,555$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.68 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 44c | 5,524$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.54 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,291$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.63 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 4,205$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.1 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 57c | 4,130$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 36c | 3,896$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.66 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,550$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 2,777$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 2,758$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.16 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,646$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.79 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 48c | 2,487$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,993$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.07 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,856$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.97 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,693$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,602$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.39 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 54c | 1,591$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.52 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,546$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.17 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,375$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,325$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.83 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,309$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.63 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 1,249$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,108$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.78 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed PlayTime | 73c | 1,095$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,077$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.01 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,075$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,020$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.4 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 37c | 999.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked PlayTime | 38c | 983.86$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 953.21$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 931.11$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.3 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 910.5$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 847.67$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.8 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 790.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 44c | 748.77$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PlayTime | 42c | 655.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed PlayTime | 79c | 624.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 70c | 607.06$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 604.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed PlayTime | 42c | 597$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.2 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 589.2$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 583.83$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.48 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 572$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime | 56c | 564.6$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 550$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PlayTime | 41c | 529.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime | 57c | 521.77$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 54c | 499.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 485.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 72c | 483.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 48c | 483.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 47c | 480.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PlayTime | 54c | 472.62$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 54c | 454.9$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 432.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 428.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 399.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed PlayTime | 48c | 398.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 364.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 348.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 345.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 46c | 342.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PlayTime | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 304$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PlayTime | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 52c | 293.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 33c | 283$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 64c | 281.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PlayTime | 43c | 273$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 271.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 49c | 264.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 258.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PlayTime | 61c | 256.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 54c | 256.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed PlayTime | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PlayTime | 40c | 249.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked PlayTime | 48c | 245.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 244.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.