Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec1756a600b63c4f17ff080ebbcc31985dafcedfdb6467c03a49e9e10821a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Nigma Galaxy, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 55c | 26,814$14,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,933.11 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 25,306$13,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,624.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 51c | 20,169$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,933.49 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 10,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 9,458$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,001$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.59 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 57c | 4,989$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 4,887$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.33 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 4,241$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.67 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 3,624$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.7 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 3,428$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.1 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 66c | 3,000$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.72 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,851$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.05 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 53c | 2,832$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.81 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,473$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 70c | 2,424$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.26 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,400$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 65c | 2,236$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.57 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PlayTime | 56c | 2,208$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 1,995$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,948$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.91 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,896$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,879$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.57 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,741$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.6 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 51c | 1,681$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.44 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 72c | 1,609$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.58 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,531$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,388$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.39 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,129$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,112$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.76 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,022$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PlayTime | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 996.03$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 894.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PlayTime | 74c | 886.44$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 54c | 880$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 54c | 872.13$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime | 61c | 811.91$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 56c | 788.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.56 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 782.68$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.38 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PlayTime | 54c | 751.93$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.17 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 711.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked PlayTime | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked PlayTime | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked PlayTime | 45c | 679.84$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.91 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 613.93$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PlayTime | 71c | 599.25$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 75c | 583.61$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 511.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 508$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 502.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 498.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 483.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed PlayTime | 62c | 464.44$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PlayTime | 62c | 449.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 438$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 50c | 434.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PlayTime | 64c | 431.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 51c | 429.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 421.87$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 61c | 407.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…1f70backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 386.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 357$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed PlayTime | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 59c | 336$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 329.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 319.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 316.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 309.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 306.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked PlayTime | 58c | 304$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 300.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 289.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 266.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PlayTime | 56c | 257.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 254.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 237.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 233.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed PlayTime | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 56c | 222.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed PlayTime | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 215.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked PlayTime | 57c | 210.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 204.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 203.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PlayTime | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PlayTime | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed PlayTime | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed PlayTime | 58c | 194.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.