Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c9bc57d3ae1be89744ce61e9061f195aea5f04c7caccbad9864873caa59309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof REKONIX, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 47c | 52,689$24,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,980.58 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 53c | 17,624$9,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296.6 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 53c | 17,513$9,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.36 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 64c | 10,403$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.36 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 46c | 7,946$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.24 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed REKONIX | 46c | 7,681$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.89 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 51c | 7,045$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.51 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 52c | 6,300$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.5 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 53c | 4,921$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.03 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 43c | 3,883$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed 1win | 55c | 3,640$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 1win | 51c | 3,379$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.36 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 51c | 2,596$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.97 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked REKONIX | 43c | 2,227$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 37c | 2,226$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.96 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked REKONIX | 50c | 1,904$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.8 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 58c | 1,752$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked 1win | 73c | 1,551$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked REKONIX | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 61c | 1,500$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,351$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.3 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked 1win | 59c | 1,317$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked REKONIX | 47c | 1,156$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.32 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,109$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.98 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.03 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked REKONIX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked REKONIX | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 49c | 987.18$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.46 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 53c | 944.93$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed 1win | 57c | 921.87$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.87 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REKONIX | 23c | 910.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed REKONIX | 36c | 889.04$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 61c | 886.17$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked 1win | 48c | 824.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 43c | 784.05$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed REKONIX | 36c | 730.07$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed 1win | 74c | 672.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 57c | 648.19$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 45c | 639.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed REKONIX | 37c | 633.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 48c | 630.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed REKONIX | 47c | 626.67$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 60c | 616.16$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 1win | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 72c | 580.17$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 44c | 575.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 53c | 571.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.82 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked 1win | 54c | 560.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed REKONIX | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 55c | 550$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 53c | 548.49$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 50c | 545.08$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked REKONIX | 47c | 532.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 1win | 51c | 507.45$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.65 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 40c | 500.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed REKONIX | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 50c | 485.08$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 25c | 481$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 52c | 461.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked REKONIX | 22c | 452$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked REKONIX | 39c | 448.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 56c | 436.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked REKONIX | 31c | 423.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 55c | 422.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked REKONIX | 72c | 419.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 48c | 381.01$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed 1win | 51c | 320.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked REKONIX | 21c | 320$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed REKONIX | 30c | 305$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked REKONIX | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked 1win | 50c | 297.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 51c | 295.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 26c | 289$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed REKONIX | 54c | 278.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 75c | 267.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed REKONIX | 44c | 256.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked REKONIX | 43c | 254.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 60c | 251.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 47c | 244.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed 1win | 44c | 238.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed REKONIX | 35c | 228.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed REKONIX | 47c | 220.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked 1win | 51c | 220.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 219.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 45c | 218.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed 1win | 48c | 211.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…b9d8backed 1win | 66c | 211.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 48c | 210.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed REKONIX | 46c | 204.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked 1win | 49c | 202.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed REKONIX | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.