TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof REKONIX, 1win
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX42c44,207$18,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,699.71,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 1win59c20,377$12,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,354.4296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win58c7,000$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win54c5,859$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.091,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX21c5,600$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX42c4,526$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.0927143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX28c4,259$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.5796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked 1win75c2,684$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6239660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked 1win55c2,622$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.6150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0352…86b0backed 1win61c2,551$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed 1win62c2,490$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.899158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win55c2,373$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.2295342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX44c2,150$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win59c1,911$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.6245750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win61c1,761$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.072,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX31c1,310$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 1win53c1,306$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX39c1,300$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX44c1,278$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed 1win63c1,215$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8933041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win59c1,178$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5424251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked REKONIX41c1,105$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed 1win54c1,077$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win57c1,041$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.642,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed 1win61c1,020$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.1155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked REKONIX45c1,002$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7711644.8%52 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked 1win53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed REKONIX47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6517454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed 1win53c979.26$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.2569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX39c923.8$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed 1win61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35150769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked REKONIX44c839.99$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.48469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed 1win63c825.4$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.410949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win63c789.99$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.341055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed 1win64c608.63$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.541,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked 1win61c600.13$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5261456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed 1win51c589.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+76%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed 1win58c517.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3815151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win72c476.39$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed REKONIX44c472.2$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3835062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 1win58c436.73$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4372035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX28c429.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked 1win61c419.88$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2215957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX29c407.31$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed 1win60c400$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX48c385.52$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0561449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed REKONIX36c377$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.728850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win61c368.52$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed 1win59c365$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6525935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX24c343.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.771,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed 1win61c338.16$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.881266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 1win69c329.48$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a45…be06backed REKONIX7c326.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.453351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win64c315.36$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.431,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 1win58c312.82$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked REKONIX40c253.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017349.1%85 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed 1win74c251.84$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5454246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked 1win57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.565863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed 1win60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed 1win53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.534561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed 1win58c246.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5519458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed REKONIX47c243.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.514450%22 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed REKONIX41c238.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3872154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked 1win69c236.15$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.141,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed REKONIX43c231.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed 1win66c220$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed REKONIX44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed 1win61c216.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4158356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked 1win63c206.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4248843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked 1win59c202.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9352649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1079341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed 1win50c196.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3151140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed 1win57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.230460.2%183 W · 121 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win60c164.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked 1win60c162.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.085738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed 1win63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7334860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked REKONIX44c156.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2517946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX27c142.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked REKONIX48c101.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7613145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed REKONIX32c101.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8847548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1win57c100.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.141,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed REKONIX39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked REKONIX40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed 1win62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed 1win52c88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2422752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked 1win72c84.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7921144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed REKONIX44c82.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.619156%107 W · 84 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX33c80.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.461,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f30…8df6backed REKONIX39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.216555.2%91 W · 74 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked 1win72c76.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3256343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.031,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX40c68.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdb89…e930backed 1win62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 1win73c63.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9827357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed 1win62c62.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 1win74c60.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8154753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed 1win61c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.16162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed REKONIX33c59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4716837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.