Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d9e9be10bcf2ce3fb408494f696a5b502726fb045d077e741cad55639544e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof REKONIX, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 37c | 45,403$16,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,842.01 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 52c | 9,729$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked 1win | 56c | 9,033$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.56 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed 1win | 59c | 8,970$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked REKONIX | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 75c | 5,307$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.84 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 74c | 5,234$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.52 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 4,116$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 71c | 3,097$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.24 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed REKONIX | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed 1win | 49c | 2,956$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.34 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 66c | 1,771$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 41c | 1,711$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.62 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed REKONIX | 22c | 1,646$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 23c | 1,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 76c | 1,497$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed 1win | 60c | 1,481$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.08 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked REKONIX | 47c | 1,400$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,287$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 1win | 74c | 1,265$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.31 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 56c | 1,149$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.26 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed 1win | 74c | 1,065$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed REKONIX | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed 1win | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 1win | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 1win | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed 1win | 64c | 980.13$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed 1win | 57c | 883.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 74c | 799.96$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 61c | 788.81$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed 1win | 51c | 753.95$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed 1win | 50c | 721.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.43 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win | 55c | 648.28$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 1win | 59c | 593.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 77c | 581$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed REKONIX | 4c | 549.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed REKONIX | 46c | 544.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked REKONIX | 43c | 534.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed 1win | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked REKONIX | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed REKONIX | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed REKONIX | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed REKONIX | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed 1win | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 78c | 499.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked 1win | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 1win | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed 1win | 49c | 487$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 51c | 483.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked 1win | 75c | 464.78$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed 1win | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed REKONIX | 23c | 451.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 51c | 444.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked 1win | 75c | 429.01$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 76c | 419.69$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win | 53c | 407.03$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed REKONIX | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed 1win | 52c | 395$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 77c | 390.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1win | 56c | 381$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 61c | 323.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed 1win | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1win | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked 1win | 59c | 282.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed REKONIX | 41c | 281$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed 1win | 51c | 262.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked REKONIX | 47c | 259.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 41c | 258.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked REKONIX | 47c | 254.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed 1win | 53c | 237$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked REKONIX | 48c | 236.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 1win | 59c | 231$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 19c | 206$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 1win | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed 1win | 55c | 199.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 55c | 196.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 71c | 176.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked 1win | 55c | 159.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed 1win | 76c | 159$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 68c | 157.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed 1win | 54c | 152.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 1win | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed REKONIX | 26c | 149.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed REKONIX | 24c | 147$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 50c | 142.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX | 24c | 134.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked REKONIX | 48c | 131.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed 1win | 68c | 128.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 1win | 80c | 122.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 44c | 119.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 54c | 119.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 24c | 118.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1win | 80c | 117$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed 1win | 68c | 115.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed 1win | 75c | 114.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…1438backed 1win | 75c | 114.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed REKONIX | 40c | 107.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed 1win | 54c | 104.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked 1win | 56c | 104.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.