Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fe81dbf0f89654f7dcaed57a34e99ff43dd83b011926ac122772f74b889206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof PlayTime, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 65c | 10,101$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 8,304$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.59 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 5,526$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.48 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.99 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 2,943$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.97 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,928$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.18 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PlayTime | 77c | 2,550$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 2,190$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.87 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed PlayTime | 75c | 2,155$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 2,137$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.89 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,044$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.82 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 1,815$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.21 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,500$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.69 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 1,468$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.83 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,460$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.34 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 1,420$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.77 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,384$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,126$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.65 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,060$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 73c | 1,040$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 65c | 961.68$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.09 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed PlayTime | 42c | 951.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 875.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.28 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 64c | 870.2$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 849.24$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.93 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 72c | 766$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 760.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.54 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 716.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.54 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime | 66c | 661.84$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.17 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 637.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.76 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PlayTime | 65c | 596.87$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 556.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 542.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 526.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 505.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.13 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 436.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 6c | 417.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 80c | 400$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 381.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PlayTime | 79c | 381.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 13c | 333.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 333.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 65c | 330$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed PlayTime | 77c | 320.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 62c | 319$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 71c | 306.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 66c | 301.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 298.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 298.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 279.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PlayTime | 63c | 266.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 250$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 235.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PlayTime | 66c | 219.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 67c | 199.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 195$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 66c | 190.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 32c | 162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 161.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 63c | 161.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PlayTime | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PlayTime | 67c | 146.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PlayTime | 69c | 144.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 61c | 134.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 127.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed PlayTime | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PlayTime | 62c | 122.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed PlayTime | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked PlayTime | 32c | 118.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed PlayTime | 44c | 118.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 68c | 110.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 109.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 75c | 105$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked PlayTime | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed PlayTime | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 96.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PlayTime | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked PlayTime | 51c | 86.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed PlayTime | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PlayTime | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 74.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked PlayTime | 58c | 74.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 72.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed PlayTime | 72c | 61.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked PlayTime | 53c | 54.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 54.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.