Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f915800a1576e334e520e1c277c3cf3784d8cba6832aeaeb0af75e4759e6cf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: PlayTimeof PlayTime, Yellow Submarine
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,188 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime	69c	10,678$7,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,341.47	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine	34c	9,619$3,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,307.53	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime	65c	6,136$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,135.95	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Yellow Submarine	27c	3,745$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.88	503	47.1%237 W · 266 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime	70c	3,163$2,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.35	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine	36c	2,861$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.93	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine	24c	2,683$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.93	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Yellow Submarine	34c	2,479$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.15	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime	71c	1,800$1,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.24	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime	64c	1,525$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.74	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine	34c	1,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yellow Submarine	34c	1,354$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.51	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine	26c	1,332$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.46	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine	38c	1,320$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.46	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine	23c	1,318$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.44	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime	55c	1,121$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.55	437	38.4%168 W · 269 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime	69c	1,000$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.77	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime	66c	989.99$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.6	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yellow Submarine	25c	853.79$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.71	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime	71c	796.41$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.36	350	62.6%219 W · 131 L	+44.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine	42c	778.52$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.18	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PlayTime	58c	770.53$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.1	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine	21c	701.94$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.43	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine	17c	693.63$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime	73c	688.56$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.91	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yellow Submarine	25c	636.37$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.38	276	36.2%100 W · 176 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yellow Submarine	25c	624.41$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.06	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Yellow Submarine	13c	609$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.89	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yellow Submarine	11c	600$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	630	32.5%205 W · 425 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine	49c	552.64$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.89	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime	69c	531.11$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.31	565	48%271 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine	31c	524.5$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.08	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed PlayTime	74c	510.16$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.15	212	64.2%136 W · 76 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Yellow Submarine	18c	473$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.11	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime	40c	462.32$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.32	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yellow Submarine	33c	432.38$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.71	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yellow Submarine	25c	429.46$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.32	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine	35c	429$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.15	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime	69c	417.61$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.06	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine	38c	406.9$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	720	35.1%253 W · 467 L	-24.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine	31c	406.61$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.51	354	30.5%108 W · 246 L	-27.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Yellow Submarine	35c	399.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.83	583	56.8%331 W · 252 L	+28.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed PlayTime	67c	364.5$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.28	294	66%194 W · 100 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Yellow Submarine	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	49.1%85 W · 88 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Yellow Submarine	42c	352.67$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.67	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed PlayTime	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime	63c	343.17$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.39	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime	59c	339.25$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.37	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Yellow Submarine	33c	335.71$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed PlayTime	73c	332.33$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.51	223	63.2%141 W · 82 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime	79c	327.01$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.67	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed PlayTime	54c	324.7$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.36	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Yellow Submarine	36c	320.64$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.96	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine	30c	320$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	654	41.9%274 W · 380 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine	39c	318.15$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Yellow Submarine	34c	299.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	407	45.5%185 W · 222 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Yellow Submarine	37c	298.76$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.92	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed PlayTime	68c	293.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.33	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked PlayTime	70c	286.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.98	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yellow Submarine	34c	286.25$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.86	488	43.6%213 W · 275 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Yellow Submarine	37c	257.79$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yellow Submarine	36c	256.04$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.11	171	46.2%79 W · 92 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked PlayTime	60c	250$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.78	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yellow Submarine	34c	220$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.26	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yellow Submarine	41c	200$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Yellow Submarine	41c	200$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Yellow Submarine	39c	198.24$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.53	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime	66c	185.72$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.14	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yellow Submarine	31c	183.05$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine	37c	182.32$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine	28c	177.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Yellow Submarine	51c	173.26$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.81	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yellow Submarine	18c	159.63$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PlayTime	56c	157.79$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.43	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Yellow Submarine	34c	152$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.42	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked PlayTime	70c	150$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Yellow Submarine	36c	149$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.97	372	52.7%196 W · 176 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine	41c	140$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.98	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yellow Submarine	31c	130$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	500	32.2%161 W · 339 L	-47.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime	57c	125.15$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.11	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yellow Submarine	37c	125$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	645	47.8%308 W · 337 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed PlayTime	65c	124.11$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.44	420	53.6%225 W · 195 L	+16.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Yellow Submarine	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+8.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked PlayTime	71c	114.63$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime	66c	113.24$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	864	51.7%447 W · 417 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…86cabacked Yellow Submarine	36c	111.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yellow Submarine	42c	107$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.09	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e0…369dbacked Yellow Submarine	24c	105.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Yellow Submarine	44c	105$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	280	50%140 W · 140 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f95…38ffbacked PlayTime	65c	102.15$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.75	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Yellow Submarine	40c	100.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	-18.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	658	63.1%415 W · 243 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed PlayTime	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	376	55.1%207 W · 169 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	318	65.1%207 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Yellow Submarine	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	217	48.8%106 W · 111 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Yellow Submarine	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	+15.1wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Yellow Submarine	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Yellow Submarine	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Yellow Submarine	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+14.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event