Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4addb92b10e49e2ae0d8bdd58dd3dd65205c94c0d4e0c16ce9e8060dea82e35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 61c | 15,379$9,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 7,892$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.46 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PlayTime | 71c | 6,847$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.71 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 69c | 5,034$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.4 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 69c | 4,463$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.54 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 4,349$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.83 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 4,317$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.27 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 4,050$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.63 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 3,883$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.09 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 3,266$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.32 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 3,200$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.79 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked PlayTime | 46c | 3,062$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.31 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 3,000$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.26 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 70c | 2,863$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.26 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PlayTime | 66c | 2,740$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.7 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 2,548$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.74 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 2,250$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.85 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 2,124$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 74c | 1,879$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.68 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 1,659$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.65 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 1,633$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.87 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,438$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.49 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,376$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 65c | 1,322$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,138$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 1,132$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.05 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PlayTime | 68c | 1,124$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.73 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 68c | 1,098$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,077$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 68c | 1,061$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.21 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,057$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,010$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,005$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked PlayTime | 68c | 999.62$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 62c | 965.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked PlayTime | 68c | 922.71$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 920.61$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PlayTime | 71c | 896.22$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…2542backed PlayTime | 75c | 890.55$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 871.66$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked PlayTime | 78c | 852.52$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 817.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PlayTime | 74c | 786$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 771.03$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.28 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PlayTime | 67c | 705.98$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PlayTime | 71c | 702.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PlayTime | 67c | 692.89$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 687.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed PlayTime | 68c | 664.27$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PlayTime | 78c | 647.27$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 620$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 600.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 588.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 577.3$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 576.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 70c | 573.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 571.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 561.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 544.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 534.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 70c | 525.74$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 70c | 518.44$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 502.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…6ce2backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked PlayTime | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…234abacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 494.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 487$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 470.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PlayTime | 67c | 462$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed PlayTime | 67c | 458.32$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked PlayTime | 72c | 456.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 455.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PlayTime | 63c | 449.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 448.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 435.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 69c | 434.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PlayTime | 70c | 433.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 430$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 421.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 408$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 399.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 388$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.