Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4048ead7051da5cc38497ca9f8635f01eaf8c5ab790ed59a36fba0dc371554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 9,947$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.08 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 8,338$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.96 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Bushido Wildcats | 3c | 5,870$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…c998backed Bushido Wildcats | 1c | 5,072$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed Bushido Wildcats | 3c | 2,247$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Bushido Wildcats | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 1,428$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 1,263$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 1,227$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 1,212$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…f6f3backed Bushido Wildcats | 14c | 1,203$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 1,117$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 4c | 959.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 899.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 11c | 776.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 740.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 725.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 705.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 688.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 490.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 453.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 450.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 401.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 345.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 326$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 325.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Bushido Wildcats | 4c | 314.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 627 | 43.9%275 W · 352 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 295.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 200.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 187.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports | 69c | 172.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed Misa Esports | 75c | 161.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 159$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…3b95backed Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 56.6%124 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 119.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9662…af06backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2843backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…fd33backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Misa Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…67c9backed Misa Esports | 74c | 97.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 95.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 85.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 59.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…1dd1backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 52.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Misa Esports | 48c | 41.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…e6e6backed Misa Esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Misa Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Misa Esports | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.