Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d39016cdc586cb038afeb75d79ac4ee52862326ee81fe95f44552c8313a04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Misa Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 4,669$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.55 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 7c | 2,536$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.48 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 2,536$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.89 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Misa Esports | 3c | 1,066$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Misa Esports | 4c | 995.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 928$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Misa Esports | 21c | 518.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Bushido Wildcats | 7c | 332.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 266.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports | 47c | 225.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 210$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 208$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 211 | 64%135 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Misa Esports | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 170.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 155$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 154.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9662…af06backed Misa Esports | 57c | 152$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 148$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 132.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 121$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 78.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Misa Esports | 50c | 55.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 54.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 44.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Misa Esports | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 26.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.