Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afd07fe30580ece5217af40ff694326a3c259fc5bf2bbefc2b8dbc18e187aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Bushido Wildcats | 0c | 24,880$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Bushido Wildcats | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 11c | 3,519$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.24 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 3,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 7c | 2,536$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Bushido Wildcats | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 2c | 1,188$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 1,179$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Bushido Wildcats | 8c | 1,151$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 814.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 5c | 507.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 340$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 270$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 250.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 204.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 54.7%205 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 189.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 188.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 176.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 123.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 121.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 51c | 113.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 103.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 95.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 87.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Misa Esports | 69c | 42.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Misa Esports | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Misa Esports | 72c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.