Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85782fbeae0f718c1ce21fa3eab1067ed64382b4f58aef3d7034a3cb3ea5b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Tundra Esports, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 37c | 18,907$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,864.34 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 14,687$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 47c | 13,708$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,269.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 1win | 29c | 13,582$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,706.87 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…7e78backed 1win | 32c | 13,393$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 11,897$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 1win | 25c | 11,428$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,614.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked 1win | 48c | 7,681$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 54c | 7,220$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.07 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 6,641$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.73 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 6,439$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.96 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 5,359$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.43 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 4,124$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.19 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 3,660$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.79 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 3,621$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 3,551$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.01 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…5828backed 1win | 72c | 3,498$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,425$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.57 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 60c | 3,368$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.75 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 3,201$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.88 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 47c | 3,169$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.51 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 42c | 3,047$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.83 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 2,834$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.98 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,700$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,632$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.06 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1win | 60c | 2,538$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.43 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 1win | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.95 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,466$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.62 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,445$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.04 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 39c | 2,267$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.11 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked 1win | 63c | 2,125$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.58 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed 1win | 55c | 2,065$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed 1win | 74c | 2,037$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.29 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,999$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,919$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.59 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,784$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.24 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 43c | 1,699$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.55 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,684$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,679$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.63 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,596$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.35 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed 1win | 31c | 1,592$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,584$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.29 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked 1win | 46c | 1,474$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed 1win | 74c | 1,473$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,462$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,439$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 31c | 1,387$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.77 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 43c | 1,320$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,285$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.64 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 1win | 40c | 1,240$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.71 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed 1win | 45c | 1,204$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.81 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,141$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.81 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,043$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.98 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1win | 42c | 1,007$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.12 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 16c | 957.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.52 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 40c | 902.3$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed 1win | 29c | 888.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 1win | 47c | 837.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.68 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed 1win | 50c | 831.91$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 1win | 45c | 792.79$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.79 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 1win | 32c | 788.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.7 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 1win | 40c | 780.83$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed 1win | 20c | 777.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.88 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 770.36$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 750$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 744.83$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 712.56$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 710.2$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 682.86$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.68 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 61c | 670.22$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 647.47$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 632.28$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 15c | 623.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.37 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 620.24$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.48 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked 1win | 34c | 606.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed 1win | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 599.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked 1win | 53c | 590.56$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 581.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…ff8cbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 563.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 517.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 514.19$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.86 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 49c | 503.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 500.04$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 500$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed 1win | 20c | 499$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 54c | 493.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 31c | 486.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.47 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 481.15$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed 1win | 35c | 480.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked 1win | 20c | 474.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 459.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 457$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 1win | 25c | 446.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1win | 65c | 427.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 423.72$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.