Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad15fe1bb55e003d1f0eab756a1950e81e64878624bfadd6be9cb9e5e3eed1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Tundra Esports, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 13,307$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.43 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 13,107$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 12,880$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,205.21 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 9,643$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 1win | 46c | 8,881$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.64 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 28c | 8,169$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.79 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 68c | 8,083$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.45 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 44c | 6,813$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.56 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 31c | 5,950$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 5,473$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.75 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed 1win | 24c | 5,128$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.86 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 43c | 4,253$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 25c | 3,634$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,256$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.67 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed 1win | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 2,950$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.37 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 27c | 2,728$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.42 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 2,618$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.86 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 28c | 2,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.38 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 2,179$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.78 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 23c | 2,175$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.75 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 30c | 2,161$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.82 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked 1win | 31c | 1,887$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.18 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 27c | 1,856$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.56 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 47c | 1,830$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.25 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 23c | 1,691$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.77 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,659$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.26 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked 1win | 23c | 1,535$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.3 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked 1win | 25c | 1,341$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.11 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,241$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 1,205$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 48c | 1,017$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.7 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked 1win | 75c | 1,007$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 66c | 1,000$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 67c | 964.82$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 922.96$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 23c | 905.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 28c | 890.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.21 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1win | 74c | 856.79$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed 1win | 24c | 842.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.61 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 790.8$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.82 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 785.57$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 53c | 768.01$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.23 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed 1win | 47c | 729.73$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 699.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 35c | 660$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.8 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed 1win | 65c | 596.15$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 580.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 570$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 550$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 546.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked 1win | 27c | 520.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 518.05$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked 1win | 75c | 497.01$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 54c | 489.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 477.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed 1win | 63c | 472.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 471.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 43c | 466.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 447$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 24c | 443.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked 1win | 17c | 437$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.31 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed 1win | 32c | 424.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 47c | 416.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 411.09$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked 1win | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 391.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 385.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked 1win | 25c | 378.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 364$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 23c | 349.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.27 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 339.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 28c | 335.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 329.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 322.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 310.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed 1win | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 265.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 261$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 248.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 1win | 49c | 215.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 30c | 212.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 209.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked 1win | 39c | 206.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked 1win | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 198.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 28c | 197.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 192$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 28c | 191.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.