Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb368e6d55fb73a66ec16f8d3a6078e904a2f50d9c924a8a206ce2d45d76e092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof 1win, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 61c | 10,561$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.09 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 39c | 7,922$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.36 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 11c | 4,846$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 73c | 3,938$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.16 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 39c | 3,463$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked 1win | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed PlayTime | 61c | 3,000$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 37c | 2,963$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.05 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed 1win | 27c | 2,853$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed 1win | 41c | 2,411$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 75c | 2,120$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 1win | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed 1win | 40c | 2,078$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed 1win | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 1,693$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.29 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.15 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,555$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 40c | 1,512$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 1win | 26c | 1,403$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 65c | 1,218$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.86 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed 1win | 42c | 1,128$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed 1win | 40c | 1,126$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,109$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked PlayTime | 69c | 1,088$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked 1win | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.62 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 1win | 48c | 1,019$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.88 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed 1win | 12c | 914.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PlayTime | 54c | 849.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PlayTime | 64c | 783.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 76c | 711.89$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed PlayTime | 47c | 710$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed 1win | 14c | 709.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PlayTime | 63c | 706.74$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 1win | 52c | 695.24$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 42c | 671.34$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 63c | 628.69$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 46c | 578.35$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked 1win | 46c | 559.59$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed 1win | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 1win | 39c | 545.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed 1win | 41c | 535.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1win | 24c | 531$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked PlayTime | 60c | 513.7$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…0b5ebacked 1win | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win | 24c | 480.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 40c | 479.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PlayTime | 64c | 465.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 76c | 448.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked 1win | 46c | 435.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ee0cbacked PlayTime | 64c | 434.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PlayTime | 61c | 419.67$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed PlayTime | 62c | 400.26$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed 1win | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 50c | 399.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked PlayTime | 62c | 399.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed 1win | 25c | 385.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed PlayTime | 78c | 384.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 75c | 374.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed PlayTime | 60c | 369.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed 1win | 39c | 354.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 1win | 27c | 352.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed PlayTime | 47c | 350.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed PlayTime | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PlayTime | 66c | 324.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 1win | 41c | 320.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 40c | 320.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PlayTime | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked PlayTime | 53c | 290$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed 1win | 45c | 278.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PlayTime | 43c | 272.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed PlayTime | 60c | 268.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 58c | 259.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 56c | 253.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PlayTime | 75c | 252.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked 1win | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 60c | 243.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 32c | 230.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked PlayTime | 38c | 229.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked 1win | 44c | 227.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 28c | 215.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed PlayTime | 37c | 212.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PlayTime | 64c | 210.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed 1win | 41c | 209.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 62c | 207$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PlayTime | 68c | 204$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked 1win | 38c | 203.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked PlayTime | 64c | 200.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed 1win | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed 1win | 38c | 199.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.