Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5eaed409ab330cca52093a491acb78e9698550ab8ec5b43616b2bef7f2f9a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 47c | 26,240$12,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,911.56 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 18,150$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,494.91 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 12,726$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.39 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 11,609$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.84 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 10,114$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 42c | 10,030$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 8,189$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.67 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 68c | 8,184$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.84 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 8,050$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 6,292$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.59 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 69c | 4,762$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 3,245$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.66 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 3,094$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.74 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 3,040$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed 1win | 69c | 2,552$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 71c | 2,545$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.8 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 2,182$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed 1win | 69c | 2,154$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 2,076$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.03 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,714$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.39 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 68c | 1,658$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.88 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.81 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,566$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 1,565$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,535$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,507$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 66c | 1,507$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.07 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,420$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…d9a6backed 1win | 68c | 1,233$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Team Nemesis | 7c | 1,120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 1win | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…e845backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 990.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.11 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…8601backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 967.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 922.17$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.84 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed 1win | 69c | 857.97$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked 1win | 68c | 810.36$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed 1win | 74c | 764.4$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked 1win | 70c | 734.09$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 733.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed 1win | 70c | 713.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 672.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 663.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.4 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed 1win | 42c | 659.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 42c | 657.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.14 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 67c | 654.37$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 643.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.86 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 611.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 1win | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 1win | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 69c | 596.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed 1win | 42c | 590.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.26 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 573.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed 1win | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 559.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 545.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 519.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 507.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 469$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 460.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 449$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 437.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 423.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 64c | 401.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed 1win | 70c | 393.46$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 1win | 67c | 370$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 69c | 369.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 364.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 357.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 355$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 346.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 332.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed 1win | 68c | 330.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 329.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 67c | 307.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 306.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked 1win | 70c | 303.73$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 43c | 300.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed 1win | 70c | 294.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked 1win | 51c | 292.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 291.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed 1win | 69c | 286.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked 1win | 70c | 281.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed 1win | 67c | 261.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked 1win | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed 1win | 70c | 245.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 1win | 69c | 234.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 233$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win | 56c | 223.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stagethis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.