Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7768134ce1c72f5b051520391ecdfca3c62b145f584218167b2863a0c851ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 65c | 8,691$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.76 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 5,574$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 4,420$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.15 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 72c | 4,278$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 4,105$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.24 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 3,413$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.04 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 62c | 2,766$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.26 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,900$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,785$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,297$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,258$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,210$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 1win | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 70c | 987.4$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 70c | 978.17$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.45 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked 1win | 65c | 790.19$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked 1win | 66c | 760.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 67c | 711.61$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 705$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 625$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 596.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 524$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 500.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 469$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 456.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 399.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 391.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked 1win | 68c | 324.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 66c | 300.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 64c | 259.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 250.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…c97abacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 226.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 200.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 157.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 152.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 149$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…06a3backed 1win | 68c | 140.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 138.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked 1win | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 76c | 128.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 117.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 1win | 63c | 107.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 87.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 78.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked 1win | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed 1win | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed 1win | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 1win | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 49.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked 1win | 64c | 46.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…ea7fbacked 1win | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 44.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 40.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked 1win | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked 1win | 62c | 38.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed 1win | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 1win | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed 1win | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…92e1backed 1win | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked 1win | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.