Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9e4773a6aac6c0060c9114a898cc1da01c86f0d0f4d3aae8637675cd129b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof 1win, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 59c | 18,349$10,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 11,491$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.1 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 11,273$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,736.29 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 63c | 8,500$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.2 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 40c | 7,502$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.83 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 6,368$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.86 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 6,222$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.95 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 55c | 5,847$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.76 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 4,869$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.59 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 4,846$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 49c | 3,891$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.6 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked 1win | 55c | 3,728$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.13 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 3,703$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.4 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 58c | 3,161$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.36 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 60c | 3,111$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.6 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 3,005$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.4 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 2,281$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.21 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 2,126$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.95 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked 1win | 47c | 2,101$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 61c | 1,989$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.4 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,950$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.26 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed 1win | 60c | 1,887$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.6 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,607$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,575$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.85 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,515$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,458$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.57 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 1win | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 48c | 1,270$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.24 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,230$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.1 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 59c | 1,150$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.71 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,140$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.57 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,126$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.67 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked 1win | 63c | 1,028$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.78 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 68c | 1,023$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 61c | 899.97$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.98 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 815.79$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.79 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 801.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.33 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked 1win | 47c | 799.58$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 665.26$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 627.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.38 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked 1win | 65c | 613.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 60c | 570.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed 1win | 36c | 562.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 560.28$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 554.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 535.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 22c | 524.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 520$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 503.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 489.14$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 488.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 465.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 458.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked 1win | 64c | 453.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 446.03$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 64c | 438.06$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 432.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked 1win | 50c | 426.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 415.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 401.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed 1win | 21c | 400.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 52c | 392.77$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 385.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 375.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 43c | 364.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed 1win | 53c | 360$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 357.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 320$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 314.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 313.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 298$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…1c31backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 291.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 67c | 273$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 1win | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 248.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 246$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 239.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 233$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 55c | 219.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 219.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 190.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked 1win | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 179.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 178.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 176.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 56c | 175.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 61c | 172.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.