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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,325,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,455,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,325,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,030 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Weibo Gaming47c304,317$143,365 inWon+$160,951.2255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed JD Gaming68c40,014$27,380 inLost-$27,379.8464455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Weibo Gaming31c37,258$11,550 inWon+$25,707.9551446.5%239 W · 275 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Weibo Gaming67c35,984$24,280 inWon+$11,704.1315356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming37c35,141$12,847 inWon+$22,293.51,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked JD Gaming37c34,134$12,623 inLost-$12,622.7957546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Weibo Gaming31c30,000$9,251 inWon+$20,749.1154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked JD Gaming68c28,243$19,320 inLost-$19,320.3970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked JD Gaming42c27,761$11,573 inLost-$11,572.5720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked JD Gaming69c24,638$17,000 inLost-$17,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed JD Gaming68c22,632$15,404 inLost-$15,403.551,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming39c19,000$7,410 inLost-$7,41067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed JD Gaming37c19,000$7,030 inLost-$7,03018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed Weibo Gaming22c18,102$4,018 inWon+$14,084.1212652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Weibo Gaming33c17,792$5,881 inWon+$11,910.571,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked JD Gaming10c17,760$1,803 inLost-$1,803.31651.5%1 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-96.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Weibo Gaming29c16,553$4,856 inWon+$11,697.3581443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked JD Gaming67c16,377$10,973 inLost-$10,972.591,53554.9%843 W · 692 L+40.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Weibo Gaming40c16,329$6,460 inWon+$9,869.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Weibo Gaming21c16,066$3,414 inWon+$12,651.81,02046.9%478 W · 542 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed JD Gaming67c15,300$10,183 inLost-$10,182.9212944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed JD Gaming52c15,293$8,000 inLost-$7,999.9852148.2%251 W · 270 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed JD Gaming69c15,141$10,443 inLost-$10,443.2155256.5%312 W · 240 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked JD Gaming68c14,011$9,553 inLost-$9,552.6390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1887…f75dbacked JD Gaming72c13,668$9,881 inLost-$9,881.0812945.7%59 W · 70 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed Weibo Gaming32c13,264$4,244 inWon+$9,019.4410941.3%45 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked JD Gaming67c13,000$8,710 inLost-$8,7101,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked JD Gaming40c12,673$5,103 inLost-$5,102.528150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked JD Gaming66c12,000$7,920 inLost-$7,9205242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed JD Gaming68c12,000$8,160 inLost-$8,1601,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed JD Gaming72c11,467$8,236 inLost-$8,235.913,18233.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L-151.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked JD Gaming68c11,440$7,762 inLost-$7,761.92757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfa…c4d0backed JD Gaming0c11,392$11 inLost-$11.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming38c10,169$3,902 inLost-$3,901.5551244.3%227 W · 285 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed JD Gaming62c10,000$6,200 inLost-$6,2001,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed JD Gaming55c9,169$5,000 inLost-$5,00017729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed JD Gaming66c9,092$6,040 inLost-$6,040.3560050.2%301 W · 299 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed JD Gaming71c9,062$6,434 inLost-$6,434.361,00953.9%544 W · 465 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed JD Gaming43c9,000$3,870 inLost-$3,87019338.9%75 W · 118 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed JD Gaming66c8,500$5,610 inLost-$5,61019570.8%138 W · 57 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked JD Gaming67c8,250$5,502 inLost-$5,502.22,02158.1%1,174 W · 847 L+86.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca34…2102backed Weibo Gaming24c8,032$1,934 inWon+$6,097.912770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed JD Gaming29c8,000$2,333 inLost-$2,332.5955639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked JD Gaming68c7,500$5,100 inLost-$5,099.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked JD Gaming68c7,264$4,936 inLost-$4,936.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Weibo Gaming51c7,119$3,611 inWon+$3,507.634536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Weibo Gaming38c7,000$2,653 inWon+$4,346.4934145.7%156 W · 185 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Weibo Gaming31c6,618$2,052 inWon+$4,566.4175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked JD Gaming63c6,443$4,059 inLost-$4,058.7959658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed JD Gaming75c6,250$4,703 inLost-$4,702.7913854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Weibo Gaming33c6,142$2,024 inWon+$4,117.9830845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked JD Gaming67c6,008$4,023 inLost-$4,023.1764949.8%323 W · 326 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Weibo Gaming34c5,957$2,051 inWon+$3,905.5597827.8%272 W · 706 L-24.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed JD Gaming69c5,929$4,072 inLost-$4,071.971,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Weibo Gaming33c5,906$1,921 inWon+$3,984.5313831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed JD Gaming46c5,818$2,654 inLost-$2,654.4214035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked JD Gaming67c5,663$3,794 inLost-$3,79459948.2%289 W · 310 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Weibo Gaming68c5,545$3,780 inWon+$1,765.7767276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JD Gaming51c5,268$2,702 inLost-$2,701.691,07423.6%253 W · 821 L-77.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Weibo Gaming34c5,001$1,700 inWon+$3,300.51,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…42b1backed Weibo Gaming34c5,000$1,700 inWon+$3,299.995942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed JD Gaming66c5,000$3,300 inLost-$3,299.8682452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Weibo Gaming33c4,961$1,637 inWon+$3,324.0217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Weibo Gaming37c4,848$1,795 inWon+$3,052.688047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Weibo Gaming62c4,839$3,000 inWon+$1,838.7114448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed JD Gaming66c4,600$3,036 inLost-$3,03614346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed JD Gaming37c4,587$1,697 inLost-$1,697.1919122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed JD Gaming67c4,493$2,994 inLost-$2,994.371,31355.8%733 W · 580 L+43.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed JD Gaming49c4,470$2,173 inLost-$2,173.1944120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Weibo Gaming38c4,444$1,689 inWon+$2,755.2635431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked JD Gaming73c4,294$3,154 inLost-$3,154.3268053.4%363 W · 317 L+25.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Weibo Gaming27c4,190$1,112 inWon+$3,078.1946637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked JD Gaming39c4,017$1,557 inLost-$1,556.532512%3 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked JD Gaming53c4,000$2,121 inLost-$2,121.081,22848.5%596 W · 632 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed JD Gaming69c3,974$2,733 inLost-$2,733.4213752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Weibo Gaming52c3,916$2,028 inWon+$1,887.6113545.9%62 W · 73 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed JD Gaming69c3,893$2,686 inLost-$2,686.131,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Weibo Gaming29c3,833$1,112 inWon+$2,721.7343642.4%185 W · 251 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Weibo Gaming27c3,687$1,006 inWon+$2,681.4862345.7%285 W · 338 L+39.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Weibo Gaming27c3,649$973 inWon+$2,676.2711838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Weibo Gaming32c3,500$1,120 inWon+$2,38030421.7%66 W · 238 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Weibo Gaming33c3,464$1,144 inWon+$2,320.181,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c2abacked Weibo Gaming42c3,375$1,422 inWon+$1,952.929268.5%63 W · 29 L+13.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Weibo Gaming34c3,373$1,147 inWon+$2,226.1733039.7%131 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed JD Gaming69c3,359$2,312 inLost-$2,312.431,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977c…45f0backed JD Gaming67c3,350$2,245 inLost-$2,244.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed JD Gaming35c3,078$1,071 inLost-$1,071.4549034.1%167 W · 323 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed JD Gaming49c3,059$1,511 inLost-$1,511.121,10746.3%513 W · 594 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked JD Gaming66c3,040$2,006 inLost-$2,006.43429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Weibo Gaming38c3,038$1,157 inWon+$1,881.045230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed JD Gaming11c3,023$333 inLost-$332.5713752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed JD Gaming74c3,009$2,218 inLost-$2,217.8610253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked JD Gaming69c3,000$2,070 inLost-$2,07012664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Weibo Gaming60c3,000$1,785 inWon+$1,21510648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed JD Gaming66c3,000$1,980 inLost-$1,98015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed JD Gaming67c3,000$2,010 inLost-$2,009.9914158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Weibo Gaming32c3,000$960 inWon+$2,039.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Weibo Gaming37c3,000$1,121 inWon+$1,878.7432457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed JD Gaming66c2,993$1,976 inLost-$1,975.686959.4%41 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked JD Gaming67c2,963$2,000 inLost-$2,00024858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.