Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1c2316eeaffea7e718ebe338d41fd0a1b75097f84f0b9389e3e671a7b79089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 2,026$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.8 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…db54backed Over | 68c | 636.43$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 35c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 37c | 519.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 502.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.24 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 32c | 345.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 32c | 336.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 65c | 316.95$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 52c | 246.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 37c | 131.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…263ebacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Over | 47c | 60.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Under | 44c | 24.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.