Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b02c93279562c65fa5a6278c78a73c3c60d4599aff904791cd89baae4f5b4ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 54c | 9,089$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 9,000$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed REKONIX | 75c | 8,789$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,591.82 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 6,763$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.6 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed REKONIX | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed REKONIX | 65c | 4,567$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.51 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 3,874$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.93 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 3,126$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.01 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 56c | 2,677$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 60c | 2,374$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.41 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 2,289$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.31 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 2,112$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.17 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed REKONIX | 73c | 2,000$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,940$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.36 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed REKONIX | 5c | 1,860$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 28c | 1,781$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.65 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 30c | 1,771$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed REKONIX | 55c | 1,539$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 61c | 1,528$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 63c | 1,481$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.45 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,478$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,263$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.7 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed REKONIX | 62c | 1,253$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.85 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,200$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.34 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 64c | 1,100$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.56 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,079$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.94 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked REKONIX | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed REKONIX | 72c | 764.61$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.69 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 751.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.37 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked REKONIX | 11c | 567.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 555.4$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 548.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 43c | 520.51$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed REKONIX | 60c | 500.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 495.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked REKONIX | 39c | 488.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 488.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.22 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed REKONIX | 73c | 485.95$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 52c | 474.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 448.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 448.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 63c | 447.07$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 406.11$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed REKONIX | 69c | 404.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…ba37backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 404$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed REKONIX | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 384$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 382.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.11 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 52c | 379.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 375.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 57c | 353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 348.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 329.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…984dbacked REKONIX | 6c | 307$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed REKONIX | 27c | 299.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 298.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed REKONIX | 31c | 291.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed REKONIX | 11c | 283.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 267.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 266.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 263.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 258.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 63c | 240.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 231.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 230.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked REKONIX | 9c | 221.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 207.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 200.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed REKONIX | 53c | 192.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 186.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 184.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked REKONIX | 68c | 183.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked REKONIX | 55c | 171.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed REKONIX | 66c | 171.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed REKONIX | 17c | 167$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked REKONIX | 67c | 167$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed REKONIX | 61c | 150.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 150.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 143.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 138.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 70c | 134.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 126$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed REKONIX | 65c | 123.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed REKONIX | 12c | 115.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 64c | 111.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed REKONIX | 33c | 107.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed REKONIX | 19c | 104.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 66c | 101.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked REKONIX | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked REKONIX | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.