TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REKONIXof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX62c47,861$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,261.231,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Nemesis35c22,222$7,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,777.6915951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis33c17,377$5,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.6734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Nemesis41c13,856$5,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,626.683647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Team Nemesis27c13,728$3,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,728.283132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX67c9,406$6,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.5196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed REKONIX73c7,746$5,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis31c6,550$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.661,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Nemesis34c5,889$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Nemesis28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX71c3,300$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.2280256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Team Nemesis28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Nemesis27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed REKONIX64c2,978$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.719754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX72c2,803$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.051,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis23c2,731$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Nemesis15c2,491$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX66c2,353$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.3495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis31c2,200$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Nemesis14c2,165$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis15c2,156$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5737832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed REKONIX69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Nemesis29c1,998$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.418328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX72c1,912$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.156243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis35c1,868$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.913542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed REKONIX66c1,742$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis1c1,608$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0847548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked REKONIX68c1,552$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5114157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed REKONIX74c1,530$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.485565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Nemesis28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Nemesis53c1,495$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.4155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX70c1,408$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5359254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis45c1,363$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9485851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis29c1,341$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed REKONIX71c1,261$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5615144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX62c1,080$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1213854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked REKONIX72c1,045$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.692744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Nemesis1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked REKONIX65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis44c995$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.831,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX63c956.41$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4134051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Nemesis29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Nemesis43c892.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Team Nemesis30c888.26$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3515854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Team Nemesis51c840$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.41637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed REKONIX46c836.3$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.611753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX66c812.57$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed REKONIX77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0637655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked REKONIX67c799.99$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646873.5%50 W · 18 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Team Nemesis29c793.87$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.224723.4%11 W · 36 L-8.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed REKONIX74c775$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.756162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Team Nemesis23c770.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17411742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed REKONIX69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Team Nemesis56c713.8$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis38c699.61$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7896245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Nemesis17c680.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5657449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis45c669.19$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis45c618.18$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6723342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Nemesis33c603.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.176245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed REKONIX72c602$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.563850%19 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed REKONIX55c594$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.34652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed REKONIX68c573.53$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.534450%22 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8a…21b7backed Team Nemesis45c563.66$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde9…f432backed Team Nemesis23c539.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis36c529.28$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0253139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a8c…c7cebacked Team Nemesis37c526.34$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis29c514.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked REKONIX72c501.37$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8524343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Team Nemesis3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Team Nemesis30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502015%3 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked REKONIX63c482.73$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.613658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX57c481.44$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.272,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX72c466.74$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6961449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX65c464.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2243738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Team Nemesis33c457.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15124244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis31c432.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0622543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX73c417.14$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis46c403.58$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8243049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed REKONIX42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23223347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed REKONIX73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06ad…4a6bbacked REKONIX43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Team Nemesis14c389.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.69946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed REKONIX68c384.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.917650%38 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d8…073dbacked REKONIX50c380.25$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX59c377.19$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.012,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis18c352.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.021,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis47c350$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0774549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed Team Nemesis29c346.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013144.3%58 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Nemesis28c336$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0817648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked REKONIX73c320$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.416550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis28c320$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed REKONIX79c319.45$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.052479.2%19 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Team Nemesis25c303.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.726758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Nemesis33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3567555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis28c300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2936138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Team Nemesis32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed REKONIX58c287$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3131835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf376…516cbacked REKONIX68c268.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.