Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe95639156226a2ad069f99a894f84b4f989637d42f35d3ac5c04efe9673a7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 24,056$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.24 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 67c | 20,232$13,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed REKONIX | 64c | 11,111$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.95 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 74c | 10,743$7,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.28 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 7,825$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.71 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 7,663$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.6 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 5,489$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 4,051$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.37 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 3,882$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.25 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 3,853$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.62 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed REKONIX | 71c | 3,130$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.79 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 70c | 3,100$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed REKONIX | 77c | 2,501$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed REKONIX | 67c | 2,227$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 2,200$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Nemesis | 3c | 1,959$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,913$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,336$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.25 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,319$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.94 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,291$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed REKONIX | 67c | 1,252$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked REKONIX | 67c | 1,166$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.52 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 1,158$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.76 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,127$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 65c | 1,036$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 950.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed REKONIX | 66c | 870.75$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 823.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed REKONIX | 70c | 773.96$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 727.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 704.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 69c | 550.88$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 523.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 508$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 451.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 77c | 451.21$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 416.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 405$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 69c | 393.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 71c | 358.75$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 349.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REKONIX | 66c | 326.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked REKONIX | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked REKONIX | 72c | 275.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 260.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 80c | 254.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 210.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked REKONIX | 67c | 203.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed REKONIX | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked REKONIX | 67c | 188.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 187.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 177.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 177.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 176$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 164$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 70c | 161.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 157.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 152.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 145.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed REKONIX | 70c | 143.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 138.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 135.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…612fbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 117.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 117.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…b91ebacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 114.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…c267backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 107.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7115…2b2fbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 104.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 91.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 85.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed REKONIX | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed REKONIX | 71c | 84.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 84.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 81.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked REKONIX | 66c | 78.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 71.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…2ddebacked REKONIX | 75c | 70.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.