TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e0b…2dde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT9958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.28
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.06
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.11
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$69.33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.23
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$37.59
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.89
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5962.7%37 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$19.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.38
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$29.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.26
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.43
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.47
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.57
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.11
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$66.89
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.55
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$51.36
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.25
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.11
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.42
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.65
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.03
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+32.1%+$20.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.45
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.5
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.69
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.48
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.73
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.44
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$15.34
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$69.09
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.36
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.19
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+59%+$62.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$79.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.58
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.66
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.28
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.5
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.21
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.51
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.82
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.38
Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.72
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.91
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$20.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.