TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43bf…713cbacked Over79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under21c2,483$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c1,977$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.51,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c1,959$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3926645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Over79c886.53$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under22c849.95$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over77c698.96$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.064042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under14c583.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.295335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over79c532.91$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.913764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over78c350.21$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under14c337.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed Under7c336.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over78c264.7$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c244.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over79c237$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under21c212.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5760748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Under23c193.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.491650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Over79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over80c184.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Under14c161.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over79c139.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.243151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de9…c93dbacked Over79c136.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under22c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.310566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over79c127.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.817259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5df…aebdbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e09…f745backed Over79c108.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over80c94.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c9…c519backed Over78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8311…3ed4backed Under22c89.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under21c68.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.545932.2%19 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Over79c63.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.294447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over79c63.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over79c63.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.299850%49 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2920042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.294465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Over79c62.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Under23c58.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over80c50.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0110465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x524b…c8b1backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c72…0387backed Over79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Over78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…2371backed Over79c39.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5612344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Over80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over79c32.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0b…2ddebacked Over79c31.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e1…0fd5backed Over79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6516553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x514f…ee49backed Over80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Over79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324052.5%21 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over77c22.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2723947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc5…6e99backed Over79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca8…0a43backed Over79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.665050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over79c15.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2312935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.56666.7%44 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.