TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c5,726$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,754.732,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ab…f587backed Over17c4,941$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82e…6df1backed Over17c4,712$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over17c1,999$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.1715032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over17c1,362$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.4629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over17c1,250$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.875435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c1,233$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over66c1,221$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.082948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,152$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c1,150$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4147456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,106$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.791,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over55c999.96$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over64c649.67$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.282326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.244146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2668…2c56backed Over18c555.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over17c529.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4112242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c507.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under15c501$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.92035%7 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick14cpaid+500.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Under79c443.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over24c422.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over19c411$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.221060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over16c398.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3612856.3%72 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over16c375$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+84.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Under57c351.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1c…7573backed Over43c343.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.520042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under80c311$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24910647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2495226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under36c269$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.846259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under36c267.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4115936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over17c250$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.55123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over56c206.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over57c202$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under41c190.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8816036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over28c186$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.11994.7%18 W · 1 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over27c169.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2543427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Over51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c132.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9915657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under50c120.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1110248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.263056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under73c102$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4661437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8320639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Over17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.86651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over48c87.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.292035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.759863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under79c81.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.742630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c81.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.178360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.664555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over42c67.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.289966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed Under80c67.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c63.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640a…4669backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.510947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over18c61.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under61c57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4b…d653backed Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec6…9054backed Over77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.114146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under40c38.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.547238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87a…410bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over61c31.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.153850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over41c29.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under79c23.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over58c23.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.864637%17 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.737247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.