TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under45c46,118$20,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,728.973941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over57c43,994$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,993.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under43c20,976$9,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.527146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c17,143$7,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.126445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c16,384$7,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,148.0259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c13,043$7,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.3158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over57c12,789$7,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.477542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.862665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over54c6,666$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.365248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over57c6,281$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.710742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over57c5,707$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c5,369$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.321,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c4,500$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.095646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c3,999$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.644020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c3,438$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.3138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c2,925$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.5829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under44c2,229$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over57c2,160$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.173464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9919755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over55c1,640$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over57c1,200$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c1,019$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4829445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c999$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5512242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over56c935.09$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4414431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over56c893$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over62c853$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.141770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over55c814.84$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c755.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under45c699.97$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9960%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over56c674.77$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.93161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c666.79$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.661,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over56c624.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.589739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c620.37$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.376864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under45c504.93$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.275060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.995036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c499.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9813349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over61c470.2$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4241238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over55c455$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.755949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5520655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over56c407.14$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.141421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+254.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c406.4$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under43c372.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603450%17 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over56c358.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.582548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.146657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142850%14 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over56c355.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9512254.9%67 W · 55 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b8…a597backed Under47c353.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under45c350$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.56445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…ec5cbacked Under47c349.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeccc…fc0fbacked Over54c347.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7114…c4c5backed Over54c344.68$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over54c340$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.43764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over54c335.19$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Over57c315.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over56c262.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Under46c250$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under42c247.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1c…d7e5backed Under46c236.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over55c230$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Under45c222.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Under46c207.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.396145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.392466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884665.2%30 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9020639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9910237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over55c190.35$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.354751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under45c188.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5714642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.839443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.519455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under21c149.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.985335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over55c149$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f87…c441backed Over55c129.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under30c128.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.455149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.