MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e0638327931b66d70fb52f54dbb8cc369eb32223f465c431073c6e476cd6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 15,453$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 15,191$8,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,786.8 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 14,327$7,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.9 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 5,991$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 4,126$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.39 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 4,007$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.33 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 3,711$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,642$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.98 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 3,458$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 3,316$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 3,305$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,221$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.07 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 3,139$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.5 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,958$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.19 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 2,903$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,872$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 2,406$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,137$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.71 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.96 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,999$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.55 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,917$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 1,892$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 1,840$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,693$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,505$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.89 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,495$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.5 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,208$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.47 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,208$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 1,166$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,149$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,043$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.16 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,037$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.81 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 998.84$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.31 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 993.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 922.63$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 909.27$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.47 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 890.55$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 869.41$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.12 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 843.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 809.83$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 782.54$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 774.53$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 747.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 745.22$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.32 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 725.25$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.89 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 678.68$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 648.64$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.82 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 634.7$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 599.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 576.41$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 535.06$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 480.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 414.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 405.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.74 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 403.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.58 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 400.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 399.02$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 365.68$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 360$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 350.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 314.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 311.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 310.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 308.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 304.65$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 301.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 300.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 288.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 285.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 268.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 244.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 240.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 238.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 233.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 229.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 214.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 214.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 207.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 202.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 197.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 196.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 190.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 188.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 181.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.