TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe96b…eb54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT4632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.82
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$125.71
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$82.02
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$98.22
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$85.63
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$83.42
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$126.8
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4025%10 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$113.33
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+485.5%+$107.33
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$71.15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+250.3%+$117.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.14
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.48
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.06
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.73
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$96.76
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+172.9%+$177.01
Stanford Cardinal vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$160.23
Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.31
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.